Saturday, February 17, 2007

Hindsight is 20/20

 This short discussion is awfully reminiscent of such famous quotes as...

Link to Hindsight is 20/20 | jon lee dot see eh

"The world only has a need for about 6 computers" [Thomas Watson, IBM] and "640k should be enough for anybody' [Bill Gates].

Ah, those that fail to appreciate the effects of exponential trends. Sigh. Ray Kurzweil writes extensively about this in his books - our tendency to use linear extrapolation based on current activity and data.

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